High streets left empty by the collapse of hospitality and retail businesses should be converted into hundreds of thousands of new homes built by the public sector, a think-tank report says today.
A paper from Social Market Foundation argues that the further decline of traditional high street shopping is inevitable, meaning ministers should focus less on slowing that decline than on supporting new and more beneficial uses for town-centre sites.
A major programme of converting retail units for residential use could allow the creation of 800,000 new homes, the SMF report calculates.
Many of those homes should be built by local councils and other public bodies in a major expansion of social housing, the paper says. Central government should write off tens of billions of pounds of local councils’ debt to support that programme.
The SMF report, entitled A New Life for the High Street, argues that the coronavirus crisis will accelerate pre-existing trends including a shift away from shopping in urban centres. As more and more workers spend at least some of their working week working at home, footfall in town centres will decline and more retailers will collapse.
Instead of trying to arrest the inevitable decline of high-street retailers with promises to ‘save the high street’, the SMF’s Scott Corfe said that national and local politicians should deploy radical new measures to stimulate new life in urban centres and support unemployed retail staff.
To save urban centres, Corfe suggests:
- A nationwide program of repurposing city and town centres should be introduced. This would see vacant retail space converted into residential property. Replacing commercial space with residential property could, under cautious assumptions, create 800,000 additional homes under our calculations.
- A write off of the £80bn in local government debt sitting on the Public Works Loan Board’s loan book, to stimulate new investment in community assets in town and city centres. This would essentially transfer local government debt into the hands of central government, which is better-placed to service the debt. A debt write-off would liberate local authorities to invest in urban renewal projects – including the creation of new schools, parks, and sports facilities.
- Designating areas at risk of urban decline due to loss of retail and office space as Economic Growth Areas (EGAs). Modelled on France’s Zones Franches Urbaines, these EGAs would offer tax incentives for firms moving into these areas, with tax incentives contingent on the hiring of local workers – particularly those that have lost work as a result of economic change accelerated by the coronavirus crisis.
Scott Corfe, SMF Research Director, said: “Politicians pledging to save the high street are promising voters the impossible. Instead of claiming they can turn back the clock, leaders should aim to make inevitable change work better for urban centres and populations.
“Trying to prop up high street retailers facing long-term decline is not an act of kindness to workers or towns. It just postpones the inevitable and wastes opportunities to develop new policies to help workers and towns embrace the future.
“Nothing can stop the demise of traditional high street shopping so it would be better for politicians to support the next chapter in the story of the high street, with hundreds of thousands of new homes that bring new life to our urban centres.”
High Street Housing: Controversial views that many in hospitality will not enjoy reading. Much of what the report states however is inescapably accurate.
Even prior to the Covid-19 crisis high streets were in decline, the Covid-19 crisis may well be their death knell. Trying to forecast a return to high street footfall that could justify hospitality businesses paying current rents and rates is nigh on impossible.
The proposed housing initiative will need very considerable examination and the report does little more than open the idea up for discussion and debate. There is no financial examination of the proposed changes, but there is considerable social evaluation that aligns with where we are now.
Where this discussion goes, if indeed it does go anywhere will be interesting to follow. One thing is for sure, the high street as we knew it in the early months of 2020 has gone.
The Social Market Foundation website and the full report can be found here.
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Footfall decline signals need to reset rent and rates imbalance
High Street Housing – 22 July 2020 – High Street Housing