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Food costs overview for April

By James Russell: Food costs overview for April

May 1, 2013

H & C News is pleased to be able to share information on food costs and trends for April – from fruit and vegetables, to meat and fish, to dairy – supplied by Prestige Purchasing. 

A Little Bit of CPI

CPI has remained stable during April, whilst food inflation has dropped from 4.1% to 3.8% from February to March. This is currently below expected food inflation rate of 4.2% for the year, which is good news.

It would appear the main drivers behind the drop in March oils and fats (-1.94% month on month (m-o-m)) and sugars, jams, syrups, chocolate and confectionary goods (-1.40% m-o-m).  The only exceptions to the decrease in food inflation have been breads and cereals (+0.78% m-o-m) and milk, cheese and eggs (+0.07% m-o-m), and even these increases were not

too significant. This is good news on the food buying front.

April Highlights

Fresh Produce

2013 has been dubbed as a problematic year by produce industry professionals, following on from an atrociously wet and unpredictable 2012.

  • Apple prices have not shown any signs of decreasing in price this month, whilst pear prices have finally started to ease off a little with the Williams variety falling in price by almost 15%; prices remain higher than average.
  • Pomegranates have continued to climb in price, increasing by about 50% in the last month, and by a massive 150% since the turn of the year.
  • Nectarines have dramatically fallen in price throughout March by over 30% after stable prices were seen since Christmas, but are now more in line with prices equivalent to those of last year.
  • Potatoes have seen a general increase in price this month (approx. 7% on Grade 1 potatoes, with only Desiree potatoes seeing a decrease this month. Prices still increasing and remaining high as the after-effects of last year’s severe weather affected crops, and there are still a few months to go until we see any produce from next season’s harvest.
  • Carrots have gone up again over the last month as the vegetable has been hit hard by waterlogged soils, and the volume of carrots required to be imported is on the increase.

Meat & PoultryAffecting the whole of the meat and poultry industry is the price of animal feed. While this is looking set to impact on some parts of the EU due to contaminated feed, the same does not appear likely for the UK. Animal feed on the continent has been contaminated by a toxic mould which has resulted in the destruction of thousands of tonnes of produce. Luckily for us, the feed has not reached UK soils, and the detrimental effects due to be felt by this will be contained on mainland Europe. While animal feed has experienced a dip in price, the costs are still much higher than normal following on from a horrendous winter, and will still impact on keeping meat and poultry prices up too.

  • Beef prices have increased over the past month by over 3% on average. Cattle supply as of late has remained tight – we are still in the aftermath of the horsemeat scandal – and this is continuing to have an upward effect on market prices.
  • The price of lamb has increased across March and into April by over 15%, and can be partly accounted for by the unexpected late snows seen this year, reducing some outputs by as much as three-quarters, and resulting in many losses for farmers.
  • Pork prices have experienced an increase by around the 2% mark over the past month. Domestic sales are said to have been pushed up due to the welfare standards in the UK being much higher than that of EU counterparts, with enhanced levels of traceability.
  • Poultry prices are slowly starting to decline. Experts are pinning this on, primarily, improving market conditions – with grain prices creating the majority of the volatility in prices.
DairyDairy prices have generally experienced increases this month. Cold and wet conditions in Europe, and dry conditions in the Southern hemisphere, have resulted in higher dairy commodity prices – with supply levels continuing to dwindle and demand remains relatively unchanged. Additionally, poor pasture quality has affected cream production and therefore prices.

  • Milk prices in the UK have remained stable across March into April, with the exception of First Milk, which has increased their prices slightly. Whilst this is so, retail prices are lower than we have seen in years; this is provoking more threats of protests by farmers, particularly amidst talk of lower contract prices for milk sold for cheese too.
  • The price of butter has increased by about 35% per kilogram in the past month, for both salted (80% fat) and unsalted (82% fat), showing butter is not immune to the precariousness of the dairy market.
  • Cheese prices have remained relatively stable in the Cheddar market, with the exception of medium white which has fallen slightly in price this month.
  • Egg prices are, in general, a volatile product, and March saw prices fall by almost 10% before returning back to their original price (as seen at the start of March). The UK market is still suffering from high supplies at a processor level, and low demand levels which is keeping domestic prices lower than currently expected – with experts predicting egg prices will continue to climb.

Fish and Seafood

  • Cod prices have been very volatile across March into April, with up to a 40% variation in price. Prices mid-April are, however, on par with prices experienced at the start of March. We are finding this variation due to depleting stocks in the North Sea, as the fish continue to migrate, and fishermen face hardship in the current economic climate. This has not stopped major exporter, Norway, continuing to push the sales of the fish.
  • The price of haddock has jumped up a massive 145% per kilogram this month, and can be partly accounted for this month by lower catch volumes than expected.
  • Skipjack tuna has seen a small increase (around the 3% mark) this month, as has the yellowfin (but this has been closer to the 1% mark), but has remained relatively stable if normal variations are removed from the equation.
  • The price of mackerel has fallen over March into April by nearly 30%, after new negotiations were reached over the fishing of Mackerel by Iceland, which has reduced the overfishing and is now more in line with quotas.

About Prestige Purchasing: independent, reliable and verified insightPrestige Purchasing is a specialist consultancy practice helping Foodservice and Hospitality businesses develop excellent supply chains.  We do this for every type and size of organisation by applying the very best professional techniques with our clients.  We are different because we earn our money only from our clients and are therefore truly independent.  There is no hidden agenda; we work only for you, 100% of the time.  And we recognise that the way in which your supply chain delivers Quality, Availability and Innovation are every bit as critical as the management of Cost. Prestige does all the leg work, employing a research team that uses over 400 sources of data and information every month to produce unbiased, independent reports.

If you would like to discuss your requirements, contact Prestige by phone (+44 1908 222678) or via their website.

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Prestige Purchasing also runs some fantastic complimentary seminars and workshops – an excellent opportunity to increase your industry awareness as well as your network. You can find more details on these events by following the link below.

For more information click here

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